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More “Stratigic Defaults” Expected in 2012

Barry Ripp — Sun, 22 Apr 2012 21:37:00 +0000

FICO survey of bank risk professionals found that 46 percent of them expect the volume of strategic defaults in 2012 to surpass 2011 levels, as more than 25 percent of U.S. homeowners owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth.
Concerns about strategic defaults were also reflected in response to a question about the consumer payment hierarchy. When asked if the current generation of homeowners considers their mortgage to be their most important credit obligation, 49 percent of bankers said NO and 29 percent said YES.
Although concerns remain regarding strategic defaults, other signs point to growing stability in the housing market. More respondents (26 percent) expected delinquencies on mortgages to decline in the coming months than at any previous time in the two years FICO has been conducting this survey. Furthermore, 53 percent of respondents said the housing market would improve by the end of 2012, compared with 24 percent who said the market would deteriorate.
More than half of survey respondents expected the supply of credit for residential mortgages to fall short of demand over the next six months. A similar majority (53 percent) expected the supply of credit for mortgage refinancing to fall short of demand, indicating that lenders remain cautious about the risks in the real estate market.
Article was reprinted with permission from the Calif Assoc of Realtors.
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Keeping Interest Rates Low

Barry Ripp — Fri, 27 Jan 2012 18:50:00 +0000

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WASHINGTON — The Federal Reserve signaled Wednesday that a full economic recovery could take nearly three more years, and it went further than ever to assure consumers and businesses that they will be able to borrow cheaply well into the future.
The central bank said it would probably not increase its benchmark interest rate until late 2014 at the earliest — a year and a half later than it had previously said.
The new timetable showed the Fed is concerned that the recovery remains stubbornly slow. But it also thinks inflation will stay tame enough for rates to remain at record lows without igniting price increases.
Chairman Ben Bernanke cautioned that late 2014 is merely its “best guess.” The Fed can shift that plan if the economic picture changes. But he cast doubt on whether that would be necessary.
“Unless there is a substantial strengthening of the economy in the near term, it’s a pretty good guess we will be keeping rates low for some time,” he said.
The Fed has kept its key rate at a record low near zero for about three years. Its new time frame suggests the rate will stay there for roughly an additional three years.
The bank’s tepid outlook also suggests it’s prepared to do more to help the economy. One possibility is a third bond-buying program that would seek to further drive down rates on mortgages and other loans to embolden consumers and businesses to borrow and spend more.
Information obtained from the Calif. Asso. of Realtors with permission.
Article printed in the Mercury News and A.P. Jan. 25, 2012.
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Get Your Finances in Shape for 2012

Brian Ripp — Thu, 19 Jan 2012 17:34:00 +0000

Key points
• The new year is a great time to reevaluate where you stand financially.
• Consider these five resolutions to reshape your finances in 2012, including tips on budgeting, estate planning and more.
• Helpful information for everyone, regardless of age or income.
It wouldn’t be the new year without resolutions. But whether it’s trimming your waistline or firming your financial profile, the key isn’t making the list, it’s sticking with it! That’s particularly true now, given the recent bear market and economic downturn.
Here are five steps to get you started. You don’t have to do everything at once. Just get going. We believe that, as you move from one step to another, you’ll feel stronger—and closer to achieving your goals.
Resolution No. 1: create a budget for life Financially speaking, life can be viewed as a series of cash inflows and outflows. Saving and investing during your working years should hopefully lead to a rising net worth over time, enabling you to achieve many of life’s most important goals, like funding your retirement. Creating your own budget and net worth statement can help you build your road map and stay on track, even during tough times.
Resolution No. 2: manage your debt Debt is neither inherently good nor bad—it is simply a tool. For most people, some level of debt is a practical necessity. That said, problems arise when debt becomes the master of the borrower, not the other way around. Here’s how to stay in charge.
Resolution No. 3: invest with a plan Getting better investment results are a goal we all share. But investing is a means to an end, not an end unto itself. So stay focused on your goals. Create a plan that will help you stay disciplined in all kinds of markets. Follow it and adjust it as needed.
Resolution No. 4: prepare for the unexpected Risk is a fact of life. Your financial life can be upended by all kinds of nasty surprises—an illness, job loss, disability, death, natural disasters or lawsuits. If you don’t have enough assets to self-insure against major risks, resolve to get your insurance in shape.
Resolution No. 5: protect your estate Without an estate plan, the fate of your assets or minor children may be decided by attorneys, government bureaucrats and tax agencies. Taxes and attorneys’ fees can eat away at your estate, and delay the distribution of assets just when your heirs need those most. Here’s how to protect your estate—and your loved ones.
Finally, remember you don’t have to do everything at once. Take one step at a time. Make some real progress on your journey in 2012.

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